Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.