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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Livingston logo

Dundee
1 - 0
Livingston

McCowan (57', 57')
Shaughnessy (6+6'), Shaughnessy (6'), McCowan (12+12'), McCowan (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lloyd (47'), Kelly (56'), Nottingham (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawLivingston
58.84% (0.411 0.41)21.89% (0.226 0.23)19.27% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.864 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (-1.945 -1.95)43.97% (1.944 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (-1.924 -1.92)66.36% (1.924 1.92)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-0.515 -0.52)14.61% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.29% (-1.001 -1)42.71% (1 1)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-1.79 -1.79)36.66% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.84 -1.84)73.45% (1.84 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 58.84%
    Livingston 19.27%
    Draw 21.88%
DundeeDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.473 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.84%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.27%

How you voted: Dundee vs Livingston

Dundee
47.1%
Draw
47.1%
Livingston
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Livingston
0-2
Dundee

Montano (70')
Shaughnessy (82', 85')
May 15, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Livingston
2-1
Dundee
Shinnie (78'), Forrest (84')
Montano (23')
Mulligan (59')
Mulligan (20'), Marshall (67')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dundee
0-4
Livingston

Mullen (29'), Daley-Campbell (49')
Anderson (6', 21'), Pittman (18'), Fitzwater (65')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Livingston
2-0
Dundee
Anderson (46', 56')
Shinnie (29'), Pittman (43'), Holt (48')

Anderson (19'), Adam (49'), Mulligan (85')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dundee
0-0
Livingston
Ashcroft (29')
Williamson (54'), Holt (67'), Bailey (76'), Forrest (81')