Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 38.13% ( | 26.68% ( | 35.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( | 74.7% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( | 27.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( | 28.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( | 64.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.13% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.18% |