Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 40.79% | 26.98% | 32.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( | 54.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( | 76.13% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% | 61.59% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( | 31.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( | 68.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.23% |