Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.