Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.