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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Livingston logo

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Livingston

Costelloe (36')
Sprangler (2'), May (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelly (57' pen.)
MacKay (48'), Holt (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
36.87% (0.231 0.23)25.82% (0.108 0.11)37.31% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.48 -0.48)49.39% (0.475 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.432 -0.43)71.44% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)26.06% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (-0.123 -0.12)61.11% (0.12 0.12)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.411 -0.41)25.82% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.56 -0.56)60.78% (0.556 0.56)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 36.87%
    Livingston 37.31%
    Draw 25.82%
St JohnstoneDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 37.31%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Livingston

St Johnstone
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Livingston
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
St Johnstone
2-0
Livingston
Wright (17'), Kane (68' pen.)

Penrice (40'), de Lucas (66'), Kelly (89')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Livingston
2-0
St Johnstone
Nouble (23'), Kelly (38')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
St Johnstone
2-4
Livingston
Murphy (65'), McLennan (67')
Kelly (8', 15'), Penrice (39', 81')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Livingston
1-1
St Johnstone
Fitzwater (90')
Shinnie (14')
Middleton (76')
Hendry (38'), Davidson (89')
rhs 2.0


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