Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.