Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hibernian

Vassell (61'), Wright (79')
Vassell (45+2'), Lyons (50'), Armstrong (68'), Deas (81'), Magennis (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dennis (8' og.), Vente (59')
Miller (24'), Fish (54'), Boyle (89'), Obita (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Ross County
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 Hibernian
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
42.2% ( 0.05)	26.05% ( -0.02)	31.74% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.07% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

0.07)

51.22% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

0.05)

73.06% (

-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

0.06)

24.06% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.67% (

0.08)

58.33% (

-0.08)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

0.01)

30.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

0.01)

66.26% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 42.2%

Hibernian 31.75%

Draw 26.04%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.75%