Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.