Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park
  • Kyle Vassell 45'+5' goal
  • Marley Watkins 64' goal
  • Bradley Lyons 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Gartenmann 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Ester Sokler 89'

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 1 Livingston
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 3.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Bojan Miovski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 46.39% (-0.21)
Draw 24.82% (+0.03)
Aberdeen 28.79% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.67% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 30.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.55% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.98% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.02% (+0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 79.54% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 20.46% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 47.07% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 52.93% (+0.16)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 69.8% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.2% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 33.64% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 66.36% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 46.39%
Draw 24.81%
Aberdeen 28.79%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.81%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 7.4% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.03% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.81% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 28.79%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Lopes 1' goal
  • Luis Lopes 59' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 31' goal
  • Joe Wright 42' goal
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Vicente Besuijen 22' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 24' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 45' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 63' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 27'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Hendry 21' goal
  • Niall McGinn 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diaguely Dabo 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2020 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Tshibola 76' yellowcard
  • Brandon Haunstrup 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ryan Hedges 52'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ross McCrorie 16' goal
  • yellowcard Nicke Kabamba 50'