Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park
Hearts
  • Bradley Lyons 68' goal
  • goal Jorge Grant 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 50'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 60'
  • yellowcard Calem Nieuwenhof 88'
  • goal Alex Lowry 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 90'+6'

Kilmarnock vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Hearts

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result

Kilmarnock 36.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Hearts 38.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.49%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.26%
Over 1.5 39.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 75.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 36.55%
Draw 25.35%
Hearts 38.1%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 36.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.35%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.1%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Hearts
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • Lawrence Shankland 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Devlin 40' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Armstrong 67'
  • yellowcard Bradley Lyons 85'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 90'+5'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Kilmarnock
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Hearts
  • Danny Armstrong 22' goal
  • Christian Doidge 45' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 7'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Hearts
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Josh Ginnelly 19' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 29' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
Oct 9, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Hearts
  • Chris Stokes 47' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 59' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 62'
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4'
Scottish League Cup
Hearts
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • goal Innes Cameron 21'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Hearts
Feb 5, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock
  • Sean Clare 35' yellowcard
  • John Souttar 48' yellowcard
  • Steven Naismith 65' yellowcard
  • Sean Clare 79' goal
  • Andrew Irving 86' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 89' goal
  • goal Stuart Findlay 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 38'
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 50'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 52'
  • yellowcard Laurentiu Branescu 78'
  • redcard Laurentiu Branescu 80'

Form Data

Dundee 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Hibernian
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Ross County
Motherwell 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Celtic
Hearts 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Hearts 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Hearts 0 - 1 Motherwell
PAOK 4 - 0 Hearts
Dundee 1 - 0 Hearts
Hearts 1 - 2 PAOK