Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.