Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Ryan Strain 7' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 24' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 24'

St Mirren vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Motherwell 0 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Hearts 2 - 0 Aberdeen
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.

Result

St Mirren 47.43% (-0.04)
Draw 25.15% (+0.02)
Hearts 27.43% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.48% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.46% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.54% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.43% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.57% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.6% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 86.4% (+0.05)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 79.09% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.91% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 46.36% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.64% (+0.07)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 67.63% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 32.37% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.12% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 68.88% (+0.04)

Score analysis

St Mirren 47.42%
Draw 25.14%
Hearts 27.43%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.59% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.77% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.14%
Hearts
0-1 @ 7.64% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 27.43%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Joe Shaughnessy 36' goal
  • Ryan Strain 45'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 73'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Curtis Main 52'
  • goal Alex Gogic 57'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Barrie McKay 29' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ryan Strain 4' goal
  • goal Robert Snodgrass 49'
Scottish Cup
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Beni Baningime 16' goal
  • Peter Haring 29' goal
  • Beni Baningime 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron McEneff 67' goal
  • Ellis Simms 85' goal
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 36'
  • goal Connor Ronan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Ronan 22' redcard
  • Alan Power 62' yellowcard
  • Richard Tait 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 27'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 62'
  • goal Ellis Simms 64'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Haring 86'
  • yellowcard Craig Halkett 89'