Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Celtic
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Reo Hatate 22' goal
  • Luis Palma 33' goal
  • Greg Taylor 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Scales 76' yellowcard
  • Greg Taylor 82' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Mayo 28'
  • goal David Watson 72'
  • yellowcard Kyle Vassell 76'

Celtic vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
Motherwell 1 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Matt O'Riley

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Mirren
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Celtic 75.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 15.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 45.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 54.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 26.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 92.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 73.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 57.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.02% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Celtic 75.13%
Draw 15.03%
Kilmarnock 9.85%
Celtic
2-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 75.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 15.03%
Kilmarnock
1-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.85%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
Kilmarnock
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Rugby Park
Celtic
  • Marley Watkins 52' yellowcard
  • Marley Watkins 59' goal
  • Stuart Findlay 67' yellowcard
  • David Watson 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum McGregor 50'
  • yellowcard Anthony Ralston 68'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
Apr 16, 2023 12.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 4
FT
Celtic
  • Liam Donnelly 45' goal
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 7'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 12'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 18'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 27'
Scottish League Cup
Celtic
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Celtic Park
Kilmarnock
  • Daizen Maeda 18' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 90'+5' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Celtic
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Kilmarnock
  • Jota 45' goal
  • Ash Taylor 51' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Kilmarnock
Aug 14, 2022 12.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Celtic
  • Rory McKenzie 21' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 42' yellowcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 60' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 7'
  • goal Jota 35'
  • goal Moritz Jenz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daizen Maeda 61'
  • goal Carl Starfelt 76'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 82'
  • yellowcard Callum McGregor 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Celtic
  • Aaron Tshibola 36' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Brown 29'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 52'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 62'
  • goal Albian Ajeti 86'

Form Data

Celtic 1 - 2 Lazio
Motherwell 1 - 2 Celtic
Livingston 0 - 3 Celtic
Feyenoord 2 - 0 Celtic
Celtic 3 - 0 Dundee
Rangers 0 - 1 Celtic
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Mirren
Kilmarnock 1 - 2 Hearts
Dundee 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock 2 - 2 Hibernian
Kilmarnock 0 - 1 Ross County
Motherwell 2 - 1 Kilmarnock