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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (22'), Palma (33'), Taylor (82')
Taylor (68'), Scales (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watson (72')
Mayo (28'), Vassell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
75.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)9.85% (0.0040999999999993 0)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)54.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.3% (0.0061 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)26.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 75.13%
    Kilmarnock 9.85%
    Draw 15.03%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 75.13%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.03%
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Celtic
Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
1-4
Celtic
Donnelly (45')
Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 3
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')