Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Motherwell

Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Casey (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
46.09% ( -0.04)	26.3% ( 0.01)	27.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

-0.04)

54.03% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

-0.03)

75.47% (

0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.03)

23.4% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

-0.05)

57.39% (

0.05)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39%

34.6% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0)

71.32% (

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 46.09%

Motherwell 27.61%

Draw 26.3%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.09%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.61%