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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Motherwell

Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Casey (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 2-4 Aberdeen
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell

 Having only suffered one league defeat at home so far, as well as recording famous wins over both Celtic and Rangers, Kilmarnock will be confident they can get back on track here. Motherwell are in disarray after a dreadful run of form, and the midweek performance against Aberdeen suggests they are still going backwards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
46.09% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04) 26.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 27.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)54.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.032 -0.03)75.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)23.4% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)57.39% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 46.09%
    Motherwell 27.61%
    Draw 26.3%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Motherwell
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Motherwell
2-1
Kilmarnock
Casey (59'), Paton (90+8')
O'Donnell (43'), Spencer (52'), Slattery (57'), Paton (66'), Casey (71'), McGinn (90+2')
Watkins (12')
Watkins (32'), Deas (66'), Watson (73')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Motherwell
2-0
Kilmarnock
Spittal (4'), Van Veen (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
1-1
Motherwell
Robinson (17')
Slattery (90')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
2-2
Kilmarnock
Van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-1
Motherwell
Armstrong (71'), Taylor (76')
Armstrong (83'), Power (90+4')
Van Veen (14')
O'Donnell (19')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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