Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 30.55% ( | 27.36% ( | 42.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( | 56.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( | 77.71% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( | 70.47% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( | 61.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0-0 @ 9% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08% |