Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
St Mirren
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
St Johnstone
  • Mark O'Hara 32' yellowcard
  • Keanu Baccus 36' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 36' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 48' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 48' goal
  • Mikael Mandron 70' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 75' yellowcard
  • Greg Kiltie 90' goal

St Mirren vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 12.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 3 Rangers
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Mikael Mandron

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 3.00pm
Aberdeen 0 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nicky Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result

St Mirren 42.55% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 26.65% ▼ (-0.11)
St Johnstone 30.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.8% ▲ (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.03% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 53.97% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 3.5 24.59% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 3.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 4.5 11.1% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 88.9% ▼ (-0.22)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 74.9% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 25.11% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 40.2% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 59.8% ▼ (-0.34)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 67.83% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 32.17% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 31.34% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 68.66% ▼ (-0.25)

Score analysis

St Mirren 42.55%
Draw 26.65%
St Johnstone 30.8%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.65%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.8%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
St Johnstone
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
  • Zak Rudden 75' goal
  • goal Alex Gogic 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
St Mirren
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
St Johnstone
  • Greg Kiltie 42' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 81' goal
  • goal Graham Carey 33'
  • goal Nicky Clark 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
St Johnstone
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
St Mirren
  • Nicky Clark 26' goal
  • Graham Carey 33' yellowcard
  • Drey Wright 66' goal
  • Alex Mitchell 82' yellowcard
  • Graham Carey 86' goal
  • yellowcard Charles Dunne 30'
  • yellowcard Ethan Erhahon 58'
  • yellowcard Jonah Ayunga 82'
  • yellowcard Declan Gallagher 82'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
St Johnstone
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
St Mirren
  • Liam Gordon 80' yellowcard
  • goal Greg Kiltie 53'
  • yellowcard Marcus Fraser 77'
  • yellowcard Richard Tait 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
St Mirren
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
St Johnstone
  • Marcus Fraser 27' yellowcard
  • Connor Ronan 42' goal
  • Alex Greive 49' goal
  • Alex Greive 67' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Hendry 28'
  • yellowcard Murray Davidson 33'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 63'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 82'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
St Johnstone
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
St Mirren
  • Chris Kane 54' yellowcard
  • Liam Gordon 59' yellowcard
  • Murray Davidson 78' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 86' redcard
  • Shaun Rooney 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Power 25'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Conor McCarthy 90'+2'

Form Data

St Mirren 0 - 3 Rangers
Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St Mirren
Hibernian 4 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 1 - 0 Hearts
Motherwell 0 - 1 St Mirren
Livingston 1 - 1 St Mirren
Aberdeen 0 - 0 St Johnstone
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Livingston
Hibernian 2 - 0 St Johnstone
St Johnstone 0 - 2 Rangers
St Johnstone 2 - 2 Dundee
Celtic 0 - 0 St Johnstone