Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.