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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee

Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
43.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)29.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)54.5% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)75.85% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)59.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)69.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.41%
    Dundee 29.89%
    Draw 26.7%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Dundee
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')