Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Fir Park
  • Mika Biereth 6' goal
  • Calum Butcher 44' yellowcard
  • Dan Casey 49' yellowcard
  • Bevis Mugabi 68' goal
  • Harry Paton 72' redcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Conor Wilkinson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Lyall Cameron 30'
  • goal Owen Beck 34'
  • yellowcard Malachi Boateng 80'
  • goal Zach Robinson 88'
  • yellowcard Luke McCowan 90'+7'

Motherwell vs Dundee - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Celtic 1 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Theo Bair

Dundee

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Dundee 1 - 2 Hibernian
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Luke McCowan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Motherwell 31.79% (-0.23)
Draw 26.8% (-0.15)
Dundee 41.41% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.72% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.75% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 54.25% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 24.35% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 75.65% (-0.43)
Over 4.5 10.95% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 89.05% (-0.27)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 68.38% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 31.62% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 31.97% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.03% (-0.13)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5 74.17% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 25.83% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 39.21% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 60.79% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Motherwell 31.79%
Draw 26.8%
Dundee 41.4%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.8%
Dundee
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.62% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.48% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.38% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.14% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Lyall Cameron 68' goal
  • goal Theo Bair 45'
  • yellowcard Pape Souare 72'
  • yellowcard Nathan McGinley 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joe Efford 18' goal
  • goal Paul McMullan 6'
  • yellowcard Vontae Daley-Campbell 53'
  • yellowcard Shaun Byrne 83'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Luke McCowan 19' goal
  • Danny Mullen 26' goal
  • Danny Mullen 45' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 49' goal
  • Ryan Sweeney 59' yellowcard
  • Liam Fontaine 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 10'
  • yellowcard Bevis Mugabi 58'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tony Watt 34' goal
  • Kevin van Veen 73' yellowcard
  • Jake Carroll 79' redcard
  • Liam Kelly 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul McGowan 90'+5'
Scottish League Cup
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
  • Christie Elliott 52' yellowcard
  • Shaun Byrne 73' yellowcard
  • Lee Ashcroft 78' goal
  • Charlie Adam 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Donnelly 34'
  • yellowcard Callum Slattery 86'
Scottish Cup Gameweek 4
Jan 18, 2020 7.20pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan McGhee 69' yellowcard
  • Graham Dorrans 83' yellowcard
  • Cammy Kerr 89' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Long 22'
  • goal Chris Long 30'
  • yellowcard Chris Long 69'
  • goal Chris Long 75'