Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.