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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
St Mirren logo

Dundee
4 - 0
St Mirren

Bakayoko (16', 57'), Rudden (45+2' pen.), Robinson (85')
McGhee (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Baccus (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Livingston
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hibernian
Wednesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawSt Mirren
46.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)24.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)28.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.26% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.105 0.1)45.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (0.099999999999994 0.1)67.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (0.048000000000002 0.05)19.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.076999999999998 0.08)51.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (0.057999999999993 0.06)28.93% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (0.071999999999996 0.07)64.81% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 46.68%
    St Mirren 28.98%
    Draw 24.34%
DundeeDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.98%

How you voted: Dundee vs St Mirren

Dundee
33.3%
Draw
55.6%
St Mirren
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
St Mirren
2-1
Dundee
Shaughnessy (7' og.), Mandron (45+4')
Mandron (34'), Hemming (76')
Mulligan (63')
Tiffoney (87'), Beck (87'), Ashcroft (90+1')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
St Mirren
0-0
Dundee
St Mirren win 2-0 on penalties
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-0
Dundee
Greive (4'), Main (55')
Tait (35'), Kiltie (50'), Erhahon (63'), Gogic (89')

Sweeney (68')
Mar 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
0-1
St Mirren
Ronan (90+3')
Tait (51'), Ronan (90+4')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
St Mirren
0-1
Dundee

Dennis (78')
Anderson (11')
Sweeney (44'), Legzdins (73')