Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
| 46.68% ( | 24.34% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( | 45.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( | 67.44% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( | 19.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( | 51.27% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( | 28.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( | 64.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 28.98% |