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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Hearts logo
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Kilmarnock logo
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Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Hearts logo

Motherwell
1 - 2
Hearts

Spittal (78' pen.)
Paton (40'), Slattery (62'), Butcher (79'), Gent (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shankland (27', 71')
Sibbick (86'), Baningime (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Motherwell 0-2 Hearts

Motherwell might be the home team this weekend, but they will walk into the game as the underdogs due to the difficult form they are in right now. The visitors will be hoping to get straight back to winning ways themselves, and they will likely see this as the ideal match to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
40.87% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 25.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 33.28% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)49.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)71.94% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)58.5% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 40.87%
    Hearts 33.28%
    Draw 25.84%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hearts
0-1
Motherwell

Devlin (71')
Slattery (29')
McGinn (36'), Casey (71'), Shaw (90')
McGinn (69')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
Nov 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
3-2
Motherwell
Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Motherwell
0-3
Hearts
Shankland (17'), Forrest (50', 90')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
2-1
Hearts
Efford (3'), Lamie (56')
Slattery (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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