Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Fir Park
  • Harry Paton 40' yellowcard
  • Harry Paton 40' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 62' yellowcard
  • Callum Slattery 62' yellowcard
  • Blair Spittal 78' goal
  • Calum Butcher 79' yellowcard
  • Georgie Gent 89' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 27'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 27'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 71'
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 86'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 89'

Motherwell vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
St Johnstone 2 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Theo Bair

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Motherwell 40.87% (-0.07)
Draw 25.85% (+0.02)
Hearts 33.28% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.04% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.96% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.05% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 71.94% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.35% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.65% (+0.05)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 75.82% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.18% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 41.5% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 58.5% (+0.10)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 71.51% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.48% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.74% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.26% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Motherwell 40.87%
Draw 25.84%
Hearts 33.28%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
Hearts
0-1 @ 8.65% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cameron Devlin 71' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Slattery 29'
  • yellowcard Paul McGinn 36'
  • redcard Paul McGinn 69'
  • yellowcard Dan Casey 71'
  • yellowcard Oli Shaw 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2023 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Obika 40' goal
  • Blair Spittal 46' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andy Halliday 45' goal
  • Andy Halliday 47' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 89' goal
  • goal Louis Moult 61'
  • goal Blair Spittal 79'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 17'
  • goal Alan Forrest 50'
  • goal Alan Forrest 90'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Joe Efford 3' goal
  • Callum Slattery 50' yellowcard
  • Ricki Lamie 56' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 9'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andy Halliday 37' goal
  • Ellis Simms 58' goal
  • Peter Haring 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 4'
  • yellowcard Sean Goss 80'