Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals

Nov 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rangers

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rangers
23.24% ( 2.25)	21.84% ( 1.22)	54.91% ( -3.47)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

-2.96)

38.51% (

2.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

-3.21)

60.81% (

3.21)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

0.27)

29.81% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

0.33)

65.89% (

-0.33)

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

-2)

14.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.43% (

-4.07)

41.56% (

4.07)

Score Analysis

Hearts 23.24%

Rangers 54.91%

Draw 21.84%

Hearts	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.24%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.84%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.49) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.51) 0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.29) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.31) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.91%