/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcellog.png)
-
Kenneth Vargas
58'
-
Toby Sibbick
59'
-
Lawrence Shankland
64'
-
Matt O'Riley
4'
-
Matt O'Riley
4'
-
Daizen Maeda
23'
-
Kyogo Furuhashi
51'
-
Tomoki Iwata
81'
-
Tomoki Iwata
90'+2'
Hearts vs Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result
Hearts
22.93%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
22.06%
▼
(-0.03)
Celtic
55.01%
▲
(+0.37)
Both Teams to Score:
59.16%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.11%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 2.5
39.89%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
37.75%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
62.25%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 4.5
20.36%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 4.5
79.63%
▲
(+0.22)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
69.16%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 0.5
30.84%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
32.88%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
67.11%
▲
(+0.52)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5
85.54%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
14.45%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
57.59%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
42.41%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Hearts
22.93%
Draw
22.05%
Celtic
55.01%
Hearts
2-1
@
5.97%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 22.93%
1-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 22.93%
Draw
1-1
@
10.14%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.05%
2-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.05%
Celtic
1-2
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.80)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.01%
0-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.80)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.01%
Alex Cochrane
89'