Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
St Johnstone

Watson (6'), Watkins (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Clark (61')
Mitov (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
52.12% ( -0.83)	24.87% ( 0.1)	23.02% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 50.13% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1% (

0.33)

51.9% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35% (

0.29)

73.65% (

-0.29)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

-0.2)

19.9% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

-0.33)

52.02% (

0.33)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.59% (

0.89)

37.41% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

0.87)

74.2% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 52.11%

St Johnstone 23.02%

Draw 24.86%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 52.11%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.02%