Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.