Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rugby Park
  • David Watson 6' goal
  • Marley Watkins 17' goal
  • goal Nicky Clark 61'
  • yellowcard Dimitar Mitov 64'

Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Livingston 0 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marley Watkins

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 7.45pm
Rangers 2 - 0 St Johnstone
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nicky Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 52.12% (-0.84)
Draw 24.87% (+0.10)
St Johnstone 23.02% (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.13% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.1% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 51.9% (-0.34)
Over 3.5 26.35% (+0.29)
Under 3.5 73.65% (-0.29)
Over 4.5 12.22% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 87.78% (-0.19)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 80.1% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 19.9% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 47.98% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 52.02% (+0.33)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 62.59% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 37.41% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 25.8% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 74.2% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 52.11%
Draw 24.86%
St Johnstone 23.02%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.86%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.81% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.9% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Nicky Clark 1' goal
  • Nicky Clark 7' goal
  • Chris Kane 75' yellowcard
  • Dara Costelloe 76' redcard
  • Dimitar Mitov 88' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Vassell 47'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 58'
  • yellowcard David Watson 66'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
  • goal Liam Gordon 11'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Wright 38' goal
  • goal Drey Wright 70'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ash Taylor 4' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 11' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 46' goal
  • goal Theo Bair 90'+1'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Chris Burke 5' goal
  • Aaron Tshibola 32' goal
  • Alan Power 76' yellowcard
  • goal Guy Melamed 53'
  • goal Murray Davidson 69'
  • goal Ali McCann 73'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 80'