Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 17.95% ( | 22.07% ( | 59.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( | 46.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( | 69.03% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( | 39.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.56% ( | 76.44% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( | 15.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.21% ( | 43.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-1 @ 1.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.95% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0-3 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0-4 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 1-5 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.97% |