Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Johnstone.