Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 61' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 61' goal
  • Alex Cochrane 77' yellowcard
  • Kenneth Vargas 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 40'
  • yellowcard Tony Gallacher 58'

Hearts vs St Johnstone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
Motherwell 1 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
St Johnstone 1 - 0 Ross County
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Nicky Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result

Hearts 49.35% (+0.56)
Draw 24.38% (+0.04)
St Johnstone 26.28% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

55% (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.91% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 47.09% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 30.67% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 69.33% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 15.13% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 84.86% (+0.39)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 80.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.77% (+0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5 68.02% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 31.98% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 31.56% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 68.44% (+0.89)

Score analysis

Hearts 49.34%
Draw 24.37%
St Johnstone 26.28%
Hearts
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.26% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.61% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.12% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.37%
St Johnstone
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 26.28%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT McDiarmid Park
  • Sam McClelland 17' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 16'
  • goal Yutaro Oda 75'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 80'
  • yellowcard Liam Boyce 90'+5'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Ginnelly 21' goal
  • Josh Ginnelly 63' goal
  • Jorge Grant 73' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Stevie May 55' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 79' goal
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 14'
  • goal Alan Forrest 33'
  • goal Barrie McKay 64'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Kye Rowles 25' goal
  • Liam Boyce 31' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 81' goal
  • goal Graham Carey 6'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 15'
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 45'
  • goal Andrew Considine 54'
  • yellowcard Ali Crawford 66'
  • yellowcard Andrew Considine 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ali Crawford 1' goal
  • Callum Hendry 36' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 56' goal
  • Jacob Butterfield 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Nathaniel Atkinson 6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Ginnelly 46' goal
  • John Souttar 73' yellowcard
  • Josh Ginnelly 75' goal
  • Michael Smith 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 60'
  • yellowcard Murray Davidson 70'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 90'+3'