Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
1 - 0
St Johnstone

Shankland (61', 61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
49.35% ( 0.55)	24.38% ( 0.03)	26.28% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 55% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.91% (

-0.59)

47.09% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.67% (

-0.55)

69.33% (

0.55)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.01)

19.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

-0.01)

50.77% (

0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

-0.77)

31.98% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-0.89)

68.44% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.34%

St Johnstone 26.28%

Draw 24.37%

Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.34%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.28%