Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 47.32% ( | 25.43% ( | 27.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( | 50.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( | 72.72% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( | 54.54% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( | 33.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( | 69.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.25% |