Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.