Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.