Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 35.55% ( | 27.06% ( | 37.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( | 75.96% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( | 65.33% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( | 28.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( | 63.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.39% |