Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 31.73% ( | 27.08% ( | 41.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( | 55.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.54% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( | 32.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( | 68.7% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( | 26.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.84% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.18% |