Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.