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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2023 at 3pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Vente (18'), Fish (70')
Fish (41'), Boyle (56'), Newell (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jensen (66'), Rubezic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Hibernian
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 Aberdeen
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
52.59% (-0.301 -0.3)23.71% (0.050999999999998 0.05)23.69% (0.251 0.25)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)68.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)17.65% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73% (-0.172 -0.17)48.27% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.239 0.24)33.82% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.258 0.26)70.48% (-0.255 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 52.59%
    Aberdeen 23.69%
    Draw 23.71%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.69%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hibernian
0-1
Aberdeen

Tavares (28'), Obita (71')
Miovski (78')
Jensen (34'), MacKenzie (61'), Miovski (84'), Shinnie (88')
MacKenzie (75')
Sep 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Aberdeen
0-2
Hibernian

Rubezic (26'), Shinnie (71')
Le Fondre (75'), Doidge (80')
Jeggo (17'), Campbell (32'), Hanlon (51'), Newell (85')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Aberdeen
0-0
Hibernian
Scales (1'), Coulson (78')
Newell (39'), Campbell (52'), Egan Riley (88'), McKirdy (88'), Jeggo (90+3')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Hibernian
6-0
Aberdeen
Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')