Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 52.59% ( | 23.71% ( | 23.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( | 46.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( | 68.79% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( | 48.27% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( | 33.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( | 70.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.69% |