Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Cove Rangers

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Cove Rangers

Watkins (45'), Armstrong (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Darge (39'), Gillingham (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Cove Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCove Rangers
64.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.54% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.92% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56% (-0.012 -0.01)62.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37%11.63% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.36% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)36.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)38.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)75.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 64.86%
    Cove Rangers 15.54%
    Draw 19.6%
KilmarnockDrawCove Rangers
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 64.86%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.54%