Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
30.82% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)25.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)43.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)50.21% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)72.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)30.24% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)66.4% (0.092999999999989 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.01% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.81% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 30.82%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.45%
    Draw 25.72%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.82%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.45%

How you voted: Estoril vs Guimaraes

Estoril Praia
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
3-2
Estoril
Silva (56'), Mendes (69'), Safira (90+3' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Silva (53'), Silva (54'), Silva (70')
Araujo (12'), Gomes (20')
Feltes (11'), Fernandes (53'), Carlos (87'), Vital (90+9')
Holsgrove (40')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Estoril
0-1
Guimaraes
Safira (11')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 2
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes
Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')
Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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