Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Joao Marques 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 69' goal
  • goal Joao Mendes 8'
  • goal Jota Silva 22'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 28'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 42'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 55'
  • yellowcard Charles 87'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 90'+5'

Estoril Praia vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2024 3.30pm
Vizela 3 - 3 Estoril
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Alejandro Marques

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
Guimaraes 0 - 2 Casa Pia
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jota Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result

Estoril Praia 30.82% (-0.06)
Draw 25.73% (+0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.45% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.71% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.79% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 50.21% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 27.83% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 72.17% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.2% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.8% (+0.06)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 30.24% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.6% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66.4% (+0.10)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 76.99% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.01% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.81% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 30.82%
Draw 25.72%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.45%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 30.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 10.22% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 43.45%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 28' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 54' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 56' goal
  • Joao Mendes 69' goal
  • Tiago Silva 70' yellowcard
  • Safira 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Volnei Feltes 11'
  • goal Tiago Araujo 12'
  • goal Rodrigo Gomes 20'
  • redcard Jordan Holsgrove 40'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 53'
  • yellowcard Joao Carlos 87'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Vital 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • goal Safira 11'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Andre Silva 16' goal
  • Andre Silva 34' yellowcard
  • Tiago Silva 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Almeida 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaozinho 14'
  • yellowcard Arthur 39'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Esteves 43'
  • redcard Goncalo Esteves 60'
  • yellowcard James Lea Siliki 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Toni Borevkovic 43' yellowcard
  • Rochinha 61' goal
  • Rafa Soares 63' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 69' goal
  • Matous Trmal 79' yellowcard
  • Bruno Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Oscar Estupinan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Nahuel Ferraresi 25'
  • goal Andre Franco 29'
  • yellowcard Thiago 53'
  • yellowcard Joao Gamboa 59'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Lucas Africo 1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Crespo 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 40'
  • redcard Alfa Semedo 56'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 90'+2'
Primeira Liga
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
  • Paolo Hurtado 20' goal
  • Konan N'Clomande 27' yellowcard
  • Alhassan Wakaso 45' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 48' goal
  • Pedro Henrique 70' yellowcard
  • Heldon 71' yellowcard
  • Heldon 93' goal
  • redcard Abner 9'
  • goal Andre Claro 45'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 71'
  • yellowcard Pedro Rodrigues 76'