Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Casa Pia

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Casa Pia


Andre (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Clayton (4'), Roberto (35')
Tchamba (49'), Neto (62'), Clayton (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.76%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCasa Pia
66.48% (-0.181 -0.18)20.18% (0.077999999999999 0.08)13.34% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.54% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.117 -0.12)47.32% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.108 -0.11)69.54% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)13.34% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.78% (-0.181 -0.18)40.21% (0.175 0.18)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (0.081000000000003 0.08)46.3% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (0.062000000000001 0.06)81.95% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 66.48%
    Casa Pia 13.34%
    Draw 20.18%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 12.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.76% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.34%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

Vitoria de Guimaraes
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Casa Pia
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Casa Pia
0-0
Guimaraes
Larrazabal (57'), Fernandes (80'), Serobyan (90+4')
Mendes (36'), Silva (63')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Casa Pia
0-0
Guimaraes
> Preview
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 4
Guimaraes
0-1
Casa Pia

Lameiras (41'), Varela (59'), Andre (86')
Kunimoto (7')
Zolotic (25'), Batista (55'), Brice Eteki (68')
> Preview
Aug 1, 2021 6pm
Second Round
Casa Pia
0-1
Guimaraes

Neto (7'), Vaz Afonso Fernandes (14'), Vito (39')
Duarte (26')
Handel (6'), Soares (21'), Sacko (41'), Rochinha (52'), Borevkovic (61'), Fernandes (83')
Rochinha (73')