Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
60.9% ( 0.47)	22.75% ( -0.12)	16.35% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48% (

-0.08)

52% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

-0.06)

73.74% (

0.07)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

0.14)

16.67% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47% (

0.24)

46.53% (

-0.24)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.15% (

-0.49)

44.85% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.19% (

-0.4)

80.81% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 60.89%

Casa Pia 16.35%

Draw 22.74%

Rio Ave	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.89%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.35%