Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabral (74')
Luis (45'), Silva (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Casa Pia
Friday, March 8 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rangers 0-1 Benfica
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
17.6% ( -0.35)	22.86% ( -0.31)	59.54% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 48.01% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

0.69)

50.55% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

0.61)

72.47% (

-0.61)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.58% (

-0.02)

42.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.2% (

-0.02)

78.8% (

0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37% (

0.47)

16.62% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54% (

0.84)

46.45% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 17.6%

Benfica 59.53%

Draw 22.86%

Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.6%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.53%