Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 45'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 74'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 77'

Casa Pia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2024 8.45pm
Estrela Amadora 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Clayton

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Mar 10, 2024 8.30pm
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Rafa Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

Casa Pia 17.6% (-0.36)
Draw 22.86% (-0.31)
Benfica 59.54% (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.45% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 50.55% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 27.53% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 72.47% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 13% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 87% (-0.41)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 57.58% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.42% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 21.2% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.8% (+0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 83.37% (+0.48)
Under 0.5 16.62% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 53.54% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 46.45% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 17.6%
Draw 22.86%
Benfica 59.53%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.18)
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 17.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.86%
Benfica
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 11.35% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.79% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 5.82% (+0.12)
0-4 @ 3.05% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.61% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
0-5 @ 1.09% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.53%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 44' goal
  • Florentino Luis 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 41'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 72'
  • goal Gaizka Larrazabal 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 35' goal
  • Joao Mario 43' goal
  • Alexander Bah 71' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Neto 7' yellowcard
  • Saviour Godwin 27' yellowcard
  • Afonso Taira 31' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Kunimoto 53' yellowcard
  • Vasco Fernandes 59' yellowcard
  • Anderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 29'
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 30'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 59'
  • redcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 90'+5'