Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 35.02% ( | 27.29% ( | 37.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.44% ( | 55.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.27% ( | 76.73% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( | 66.29% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( | 28.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( | 64.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69% |