Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Casa Pia

Kikas (57', 75'), Luiz (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soma (86')
Lameiras (77'), Tchamba (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, March 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Casa Pia
47.84% ( -0.03)	25.67% ( 0.01)	26.49% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.72% (

-0.05)

52.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.02% (

-0.04)

73.98% (

0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.03)

21.86% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

-0.05)

55.09% (

0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

-0.02)

34.57% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

-0.02)

71.29% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 47.84%

Casa Pia 26.49%

Draw 25.66%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.84%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.49%