Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
3 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Banza (57' pen.), Bruma (84'), Fernandes (90+3')
Mendes (69'), Banza (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bucca (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Chaves
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
77.98% ( -0)	13.99%	8.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.04% (

-0)

33.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.18% (

-0)

55.81% (

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.98% (

-0)

7.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.34% (

-0)

25.66% (

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.48% (

47.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12% (

82.88% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Braga 77.97%

Estrela Amadora 8.03%

Draw 13.99%

Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.76% 3-0 @ 10.42% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 7.76% 4-0 @ 6.92% 4-1 @ 5.15% 5-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.27% Total : 77.97%	1-1 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.33% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.99%	0-1 @ 2.48% 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.03%