Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Simon Banza 57' goal
  • Joe Mendes 69' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 82' yellowcard
  • Bruma 84' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'

Braga vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2024 8.15pm
Boavista 0 - 4 Braga
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Simon Banza

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 1 Chaves
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result

Braga 77.98% (-0.01)
Draw 13.99%
Estrela Amadora 8.03% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.79% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.04% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 33.95%
Over 3.5 44.18% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 55.81% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 25.6% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.4% (+0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 92.98% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 7.02%
Over 1.5 74.34% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.66% (+0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 52.48% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 47.52% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 17.12% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.88% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Braga 77.97%
Draw 13.99%
Estrela Amadora 8.03%
Braga
2-0 @ 11.76%
3-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 7.76%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 5.15%
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.92%
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 77.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.33%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.99%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 2.48%
1-2 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 8.03%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
  • Leo Cordeiro 17' yellowcard
  • Kikas 75' goal
  • Jean Felipe 79' goal
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 13'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 44'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 49'
  • goal Simon Banza 68'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 75'
  • yellowcard Serdar Saatci 78'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'