Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.