Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 26, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
0 - 4
Braga

Bozenik (34')
Perez (20')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Banza (42', 62'), Ruiz (44'), Zalazar (72')
Moutinho (18'), Fernandes (36'), Saatci (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Boavista
Saturday, February 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Qarabag 2-3 Braga
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Braga
28.26% ( 0.07)	23.93%	47.81% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.15% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

0.04)

43.69% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

0.04)

66.08% (

-0.04)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

0.07)

28.71% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

0.08)

64.54% (

-0.08)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

-0.01)

18.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

-0.01)

49.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Boavista 28.26%

Braga 47.81%

Draw 23.92%

Boavista	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.26%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 47.81%