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Europa League

Braga
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Qarabag

Braga
2 - 4
Qarabag

Banza (44'), Moutinho (90+1' pen.)
Ruiz (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jankovic (21' pen.), Zoubir (54', 69'), Juninho (65')
Silva (30'), Romao (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Last Game: Qarabag 2-1 Hacken
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawQarabag FK
58.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)20.66%
Both teams to score 59.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)38.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28%60.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01%12.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)39.49%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48%68.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 58.21%
    Qarabag FK 20.66%
    Draw 21.12%
BragaDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 5.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.43%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.16%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: Braga vs Qarabag

Braga
80.3%
Draw
10.9%
Qarabag FK
8.8%
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