Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))

Qarabag
2 - 1
Hacken

Andrade (1'), Benzia (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Huseynov (90+4' og.)
Hovland (22'), Sonko (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Molde 2-2 Qarabag
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Hacken

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.78%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Hacken
42.89% ( -0.31)	21.51% ( -0.04)	35.6% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 70.96% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.54% (

0.3)

28.46% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.69% (

0.37)

49.31% (

-0.37)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

0.01)

14.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85% (

0.02)

42.14% (

-0.02)

Hacken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

0.3)

17.18% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55% (

0.52)

47.45% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 42.89%

Hacken 35.6%

Draw 21.51%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Hacken
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.89%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6%