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Europa League
Qarabag
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Braga

Qarabag
2 - 3
Braga

Silva (102'), Axundzada (120+2')
Romao (35'), Qurbanov (36'), Cafarquliyev (53'), Bayramov (85'), Vesovic (90+1'), Mustafazada (111')
Cafarquliyev (57')
FT
(aet)
Fernandes (70'), Djalo (83'), Banza (115' pen.)
Gomez (55'), Oliveira (86'), Djalo (100'), Ndour (110'), Banza (120+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Qarabag FK 2-1 Braga (Qarabag FK to win 6-3 on aggregate)

 Qarabag's first-leg win has put them in a strong position, and they will be buoyed by playing at home in front of their fans. Braga, meanwhile, continue to struggle defensively and have been misfiring in attack recently. We expect the home side to secure qualification on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%).

Result
Qarabag FKDrawBraga
29.09% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 22.48% (-0.012 -0.01) 48.43% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.95% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)36.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (0.043999999999997 0.04)58.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.0039999999999907 0)24.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.84%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (0.031000000000006 0.03)15.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)44.2% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 29.09%
    Braga 48.43%
    Draw 22.48%
Qarabag FKDrawBraga
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 48.43%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Braga

Qarabag FK
58.0%
Draw
16.0%
Braga
26.0%
150
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Braga
2-4
Qarabag
Banza (44'), Moutinho (90+1' pen.)
Ruiz (45+2')
Jankovic (21' pen.), Zoubir (54', 69'), Juninho (65')
Silva (30'), Romao (76')
> Preview
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