Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Chaves
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Hernandez (23')
Essugo (33'), Guimaraes (57'), Souza (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silva (20'), Silva (63' pen.)
Oliveira (68'), Cesar (78'), Andre (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, March 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Famalicao
Saturday, March 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
ChavesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
22.85% (1.194 1.19)24.35% (0.224 0.22)52.8% (-1.417 -1.42)
Both teams to score 51.47% (0.827 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (0.34 0.34)50.02% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (0.304 0.3)72% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (1.34 1.34)36.53% (-1.339 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (1.324 1.32)73.32% (-1.325 -1.33)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (-0.416 -0.42)18.9% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (-0.698 -0.7)50.39% (0.698 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 22.85%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.8%
    Draw 24.35%
ChavesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.261 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.85%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.156 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.394 -0.39)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.32% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.8%

How you voted: Chaves vs Guimaraes

Chaves
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Guimaraes
5-0
Chaves
Mendes (3'), Handel (43'), Silva (45+2'), Silva (53'), Silva (90+1')

Ribeiro (21'), Nogueira (27')
Nogueira (44')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
2-1
Chaves
Silva (18' pen.), Safira (90+7')
Abass (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Pedro Fortes Bachiessa (16'), Monte (63')
Silva (45+3')
Villanueva (16'), Maga (18'), Bamba (23'), Sa (46'), Amaro (54'), Silva (82'), Varela (83'), Salgueiro Pains (90')
Semedo (82'), Salgueiro Pains (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 28
Guimaraes
4-0
Chaves
Wakaso (4'), Toze (11' pen.), Rochinha (36'), Guedes (80')

Bressan (65')
Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chaves
0-1
Guimaraes

Eustaquio (86')
Davidson (36')