Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Hector Hernandez 23' goal
  • Dario Essugo 33' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Guimaraes 57' yellowcard
  • Hugo Souza 60' yellowcard
  • goal Jota Silva 20'
  • goal Tiago Silva 63'
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 68'
  • yellowcard Kaio Cesar 78'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 90'

Chaves vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2024 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Chaves
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 8.30pm
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jota Silva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result

Chaves 22.85% (+1.20)
Draw 24.35% (+0.23)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.8% (-1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.47% (+0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.97% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 50.02% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 28% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 72% (-0.31)
Over 4.5 13.31% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 86.69% (-0.20)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 63.47% (+1.34)
Under 0.5 36.53% (-1.34)
Over 1.5 26.68% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 73.32% (-1.33)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 81.1% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 18.9% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 49.61% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 50.39% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Chaves 22.85%
Draw 24.35%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.8%
Chaves
1-0 @ 6.95% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 5.83% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 3.5% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 1.96% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.18% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.9% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.16)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 24.35%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 5.36% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 5.32% (-0.30)
2-3 @ 2.7% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 3' goal
  • Tomas Handel 43' goal
  • Jota Silva 45'+2' goal
  • Andre Silva 53' goal
  • Manu Silva 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Ribeiro 21'
  • yellowcard Ygor Nogueira 27'
  • redcard Ygor Nogueira 44'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 30, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tiago Silva 18' goal
  • Safira 90'+7' goal
  • goal Issah Abass 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Joao Pedro Fortes Bachiessa 16' yellowcard
  • Nelson Monte 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Villanueva 16'
  • yellowcard Maga 18'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Bamba 23'
  • yellowcard Helder Sa 46'
  • goal Andre Silva 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Andre Amaro 54'
  • redcard Alfa Semedo 82'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 82'
  • yellowcard Bruno Varela 83'
  • yellowcard Matheus Salgueiro Pains 90'
  • redcard Matheus Salgueiro Pains 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2019 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)
  • Alhassan Wakaso 4' goal
  • Toze 11' goal
  • Rochinha 36' goal
  • Alexandre Guedes 80' goal
  • yellowcard Renan Bressan 65'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Dec 2, 2018 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira (Chaves)
  • Stephen Eustaquio 86' yellowcard
  • goal Davidson 36'
Primeira Liga
Jan 12, 2018 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 3 3
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira (Chaves)
  • Pedro Tiba 35' goal
  • Davidson 37' goal
  • Davidson 43' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 73' yellowcard
  • Pedro Tiba 96' goal
  • goal Paolo Hurtado 10'
  • goal Raphinha 16'
  • yellowcard Victor Garcia 28'
  • yellowcard Chico Ramos 30'
  • goal Junior Tallo 39'
  • yellowcard Kiko 95'