Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Famalicao

Silva (38')
Fernandes (31')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mihaj (54'), de Haas (59'), Chiquinho (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
49.93% ( 0.02)	24.79% ( -0)	25.28% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.01)

49.61% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.01)

71.63% (

0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

0.01)

19.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

0.01)

52% (

-0.01)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.02)

34.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

-0.02)

70.83% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.93%

Famalicao 25.28%

Draw 24.78%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.93%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.28%