Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
46.91% ( 0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.07) | 27.34% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( -0.37) | 52.07% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( -0.32) | 73.8% ( 0.33) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% ( -0.11) | 22.19% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.41% ( -0.17) | 55.6% ( 0.18) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( -0.32) | 33.78% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.57% ( -0.35) | 70.44% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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