Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
3 - 2
Famalicao

Sylla (33'), Cristo (45+1'), Mujica (64')
Jason (45'), Mujica (54')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Cadiz (5', 12'), Sa (56')
Youssouf (38'), Vinicios (44'), Mihaj (61'), Riccieli (75'), Cadiz (86'), Aranda (90+9')
Luis Rodriguez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
32.26% ( 0.02)	26.62% ( 0.01)	41.12% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59% (

-0.05)

53.41% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06% (

-0.05)

74.94% (

0.04)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.13% (

-0.01)

30.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.84% (

-0.02)

67.16% (

0.02)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0.04)

25.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.52% (

-0.06)

60.48% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Arouca 32.26%

Famalicao 41.11%

Draw 26.62%

Arouca	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.26%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.11%

How you voted: Arouca vs Famalicao

Arouca

78.6%

Draw

14.3%

Famalicao

7.1%

Head to Head

Sep 22, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 6

Famalicao

1-0

Arouca

Otavio (28')
Otavio (16'), Riccieli (39'), Aranda (45+1'), Aguirregabiria (51')
Riccieli (57')

Jason (20'), Galovic (64')
Mujica (77'), Ramos (90+5')

> Preview

Apr 3, 2023 8.15pm

Gameweek 26

Famalicao

0-1

Arouca

Sylla (90+3' pen.)

> Preview

Oct 10, 2022 8.15pm

Gameweek 9

Arouca

4-1

Famalicao

Bukia (30'), Sylla (52'), Antony (58'), Dabbagh (84')

Colombatto (21')

> Preview

Jan 31, 2022 9.15pm

Gameweek 20

Famalicao

0-0

Arouca

Alex (75'), Marin (90+6')

Basso (37'), Bukia (54'), Esgaio (59')

> Preview

Aug 20, 2021 7pm

Gameweek 3

Arouca

2-1

Famalicao

Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')

Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')

> Preview

Form Guide

Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca

Arouca 3-2 Porto

Portimonense 1-2 Arouca

Arouca 5-0 Vizela

Estoril 1-2 Arouca

Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca

Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave

Farense 1-1 Famalicao

Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao